Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Cerundolo F. — Safiullin R.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Cerundolo F.58%
Safiullin R.42%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Cerundolo F. to win (58%), came true.

Cerundolo F. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Cerundolo F. 1700, Safiullin R. 1585.

Facts

  • Safiullin R.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Cerundolo F. games
  • Safiullin R. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Cerundolo F.

  • 04.10Medvedev D.0:2
  • 03.10Mensik J.2:0
  • 01.10Van De Zandschulp B.2:1

Safiullin R.

  • 07.10Hijikata R.2:0
  • 06.10Mochizuki S.2:0
  • 05.10Galarneau A.2:0
  • 03.10Rublev A.1:2
  • 01.10Cobolli F.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Cerundolo F.Mensik J.11 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →