Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Charaeva A. — Kartal S.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Charaeva A.35%
Kartal S.65%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Kartal S. to win (65%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 65% fails in about 35 matches out of 100 on average.

Kartal S. are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Charaeva A. 1576, Kartal S. 1711.

Probabilities

Games over 21.549%
Games under 21.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Charaeva A. games
  • Kartal S. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Charaeva A.

  • 03.10Rybakina E.2:1
  • 01.10Starodubtseva Y.2:1
  • 24.09Bondar A.1:2
  • 22.09Kenin S.2:1

Kartal S.

  • 03.10Wang Xin.2:0
  • 01.10Lazaro Garcia A.2:0
  • 22.09Bouzkova M.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Charaeva A.Zheng Q.7 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Kalinina A.Kartal S.12 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.17.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.17.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →