Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Vekic D. — Swiatek I.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Vekic D.12%
Swiatek I.88%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Swiatek I. to win (88%), came true.

Swiatek I. are clear favourites: 88% against 12% for the opponent.

Over 17.5 games — 55%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Vekic D. 1607, Swiatek I. 1963.

Probabilities

Games over 17.555%
Games under 17.545%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Vekic D. games
  • Swiatek I. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Vekic D.

  • 03.10Zhu L.2:1
  • 22.09Wang Xin.0:2

Swiatek I.

  • 03.10Gao X.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Jovic I.Swiatek I.7 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Sakkari M.Vekic D.12 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.17.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 88% will not happen in roughly 12 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →