Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Cui J. — Vukic A.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Cui J.25%
Vukic A.75%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Vukic A. to win (75%), came true.

Vukic A. are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Cui J. 1445, Vukic A. 1480.

Probabilities

Games over 22.548%
Games under 22.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Cui J. games
  • Vukic A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Cui J.

  • 29.09Van De Zandschulp B.0:2
  • 28.09Altmaier D.2:0
  • 24.09Vallejo D.1:2

Vukic A.

  • 23.09Jacquet K.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Kotov P.Vukic A.6 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →