Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK

Kotov P. — Vukic A.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Kotov P.49%
Vukic A.51%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Vukic A. to win (51%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Kotov P. 49%, Vukic A. 51%.

Over 22.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Kotov P. 1508, Vukic A. 1488.

Probabilities

Games over 22.553%
Games under 22.547%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Kotov P. games
  • Vukic A. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Kotov P.

  • 05.10Damm M.2:1
  • 23.09Mochizuki S.0:2
  • 22.09Castelnuovo L.2:1

Vukic A.

  • 05.10Cui J.2:1
  • 23.09Jacquet K.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Kotov P.Griekspoor T.8 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →