Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

De Minaur A. — Halys Q.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
De Minaur A.77%
Halys Q.23%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, De Minaur A. to win (77%), came true.

De Minaur A. are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: De Minaur A. 1781, Halys Q. 1573.

Probabilities

Games over 22.552%
Games under 22.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • De Minaur A. games
  • Halys Q. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

De Minaur A.

  • 01.10Navone M.2:0

Halys Q.

  • 01.10Buse I.2:0
  • 26.09Safiullin R.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • De Minaur A.Rublev A.4 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Halys Q.Wong C.7 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →