Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Zverev A. — Shang J.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Zverev A.86%
Shang J.14%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Zverev A. to win (86%), came true.

Zverev A. are clear favourites: 86% against 14% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zverev A. 1893, Shang J. 1580.

Probabilities

Games over 21.550%
Games under 21.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Zverev A. games
  • Shang J. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Zverev A.

  • 01.10Norrie C.2:0

Shang J.

  • 01.10Baez S.2:1
  • 24.09Mannarino A.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Zverev A.Djokovic N.4 October · ATP · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →