Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

Faria J. — Fery A.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Faria J.55%
Fery A.45%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Faria J. to win (55%), came true.

Faria J. are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

Over 25.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Faria J. 1612, Fery A. 1628.

Probabilities

Games over 25.548%
Games under 25.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Faria J. games
  • Fery A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Faria J.

  • 29.09Vallejo D.1:2
  • 28.09Mochizuki S.2:0
  • 25.09Gaston H.1:2
  • 24.09Atmane T.2:1

Fery A.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Munar J.Faria J.2 October · ATP · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.25.5
  • Fery A.Cilic M.7 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →