Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Fils A. — Kotov P.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Fils A.89%
Kotov P.11%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Fils A. to win (89%), came true.

Fils A. are clear favourites: 89% against 11% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Fils A. 1812, Kotov P. 1510.

Probabilities

Games over 19.550%
Games under 19.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Fils A. games
  • Kotov P. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Fils A.

  • 04.10Vacherot V.1:2
  • 02.10Tiafoe F.2:0
  • 30.09van Assche L.2:0
  • 29.09Majchrzak K.2:1
  • 28.09Damm M.2:1

Kotov P.

  • 08.10Griekspoor T.2:0
  • 06.10Vukic A.2:0
  • 05.10Damm M.2:1
  • 23.09Mochizuki S.0:2
  • 22.09Castelnuovo L.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Fils A.Van De Zandschulp B.12 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 89% will not happen in roughly 11 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →