Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Svrcina D. — Etcheverry T. M.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Svrcina D.57%
Etcheverry T. M.43%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Svrcina D. to win (57%), came true.

Svrcina D. are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

Over 22.5 games — 46%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Svrcina D. 1522, Etcheverry T. M. 1467.

Probabilities

Games over 22.546%
Games under 22.554%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Svrcina D. games
  • Etcheverry T. M. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Svrcina D.

  • 08.10Norrie C.2:1
  • 06.10Nishioka Y.0:0
  • 05.10Harris B.2:1
  • 24.09Hijikata R.0:2
  • 23.09Noguchi R.2:0

Etcheverry T. M.

  • 01.10Tsitsipas S.1:2
  • 25.09Jacquet K.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Medvedev D.Svrcina D.12 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →