Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Tirante T. A. — Jodar R.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Tirante T. A.41%
Jodar R.59%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Jodar R. to win (59%), came true.

Jodar R. are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Tirante T. A. 1653, Jodar R. 1726.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Tirante T. A. games
  • Jodar R. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Tirante T. A.

  • 08.10Medjedovic H.2:0
  • 30.09Struff J-L.0:2

Jodar R.

  • 01.10Vallejo D.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Lehecka J.Jodar R.12 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →