Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Bu Y. — Ruud C.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Bu Y.34%
Ruud C.66%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Ruud C. to win (66%), came true.

Ruud C. are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Bu Y. 1550, Ruud C. 1734.

Probabilities

Games over 22.550%
Games under 22.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Bu Y. games
  • Ruud C. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Bu Y.

  • 08.10van Assche L.2:0
  • 02.10Djokovic N.1:2
  • 30.09Cerundolo J. M.2:1
  • 27.09Safiullin R.0:2
  • 26.09Majchrzak K.2:1

Ruud C.

  • 01.10Darderi L.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Tien L.Ruud C.12 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →