Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Monday, 12 October, MSK

Fils A. — Van De Zandschulp B.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Fils A.72%
Van De Zandschulp B.28%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Fils A. to win (72%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 72% fails in about 28 matches out of 100 on average.

Fils A. are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 54%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Fils A. 1815, Van De Zandschulp B. 1638.

Probabilities

Games over 21.554%
Games under 21.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Fils A. games
  • Van De Zandschulp B. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Fils A.

  • 10.10Kotov P.2:0
  • 04.10Vacherot V.1:2
  • 02.10Tiafoe F.2:0
  • 30.09van Assche L.2:0
  • 29.09Majchrzak K.2:1

Van De Zandschulp B.

  • 10.10Michelsen A.2:0
  • 08.10Merida Aguilar D.2:1
  • 01.10Cerundolo F.1:2
  • 29.09Cui J.2:0
  • 28.09Royer V.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →