Bergs Z. — Alcaraz C.
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2:0Missed
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Alcaraz C. to win (90%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 90% fails in about 10 matches out of 100 on average.
Alcaraz C. are clear favourites: 90% against 10% for the opponent.
Over 20.5 games — 44%.
Why
- Rating on hard: Bergs Z. 1609, Alcaraz C. 2028.
Probabilities
| Games over 20.5 | 44% |
| Games under 20.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- Games handicap
- Sets handicap
- First set
- Bergs Z. games
- Alcaraz C. games
- Score in sets
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Form
- 10.10Cerundolo J. M.2:0
- 06.10Lehecka J.2:0
- 05.10Munar J.2:1
- 04.10Shapovalov D.1:0
- 03.10Arnaldi M.2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next match
- Paul T.Bergs Z.14 October · ATP · Shanghai66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:022.5
ATP on the same day
- 25752The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
- 54461The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
- 55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
- 36642The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
- 87131The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
- 72281The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
- 57431The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 90% will not happen in roughly 10 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →