Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Monday, 12 October, MSK

Carreno-Busta P. — Auger-Aliassime F.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Carreno-Busta P.25%
Auger-Aliassime F.75%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Auger-Aliassime F. to win (75%), came true.

Auger-Aliassime F. are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Carreno-Busta P. 1627, Auger-Aliassime F. 1773.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Carreno-Busta P. games
  • Auger-Aliassime F. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Carreno-Busta P.

  • 10.10Tabilo A.2:1
  • 08.10Navone M.2:1
  • 02.10Medvedev D.0:2
  • 29.09Mannarino A.2:0
  • 28.09Zhou Y.2:0

Auger-Aliassime F.

  • 10.10Ugo Carabelli C.2:1
  • 30.09Khachanov K.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Ruud C.Auger-Aliassime F.14 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →