Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Monday, 12 October, MSK

Lehecka J. — Jodar R.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Lehecka J.55%
Jodar R.45%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Lehecka J. to win (55%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.

Lehecka J. are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Lehecka J. 1757, Jodar R. 1736.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Lehecka J. games
  • Jodar R. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Lehecka J.

  • 10.10Borges N.2:1
  • 06.10Alcaraz C.0:2
  • 05.10Vacherot V.2:0
  • 04.10Vallejo D.2:0
  • 03.10Humbert U.2:1

Jodar R.

  • 10.10Tirante T. A.2:1
  • 01.10Vallejo D.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →