Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Thursday, 8 October, MSK

Giron M. — Baez S.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Giron M.46%
Baez S.54%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Baez S. to win (54%), came true.

Baez S. are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Giron M. 1547, Baez S. 1555.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Giron M. games
  • Baez S. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Giron M.

  • 28.09Munar J.1:2

Baez S.

  • 01.10Shang J.1:2
  • 23.09Brooksby J.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Baez S.Vacherot V.10 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →