Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Thursday, 8 October, MSK

Munar J. — Brooksby J.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Munar J.60%
Brooksby J.40%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Munar J. to win (60%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 60% fails in about 40 matches out of 100 on average.

Munar J. are slightly stronger: 60% against 40%.

Over 21.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Munar J. 1621, Brooksby J. 1602.

Probabilities

Games over 21.552%
Games under 21.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Munar J. games
  • Brooksby J. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Munar J.

  • 05.10Alcaraz C.1:2
  • 04.10Jacquet K.2:0
  • 02.10Faria J.2:0
  • 01.10Fritz T.2:1
  • 29.09Kovacevic A.2:0

Brooksby J.

  • 27.09Basilashvili N.0:2
  • 25.09Sonego L.2:1
  • 23.09Baez S.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Davidovich Fokina A.Brooksby J.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →