Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Thursday, 8 October, MSK

Kotov P. — Griekspoor T.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Kotov P.23%
Griekspoor T.77%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Griekspoor T. to win (77%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 77% fails in about 23 matches out of 100 on average.

Griekspoor T. are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 46%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Kotov P. 1496, Griekspoor T. 1620.

Probabilities

Games over 22.546%
Games under 22.554%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Kotov P. games
  • Griekspoor T. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Kotov P.

  • 06.10Vukic A.2:0
  • 05.10Damm M.2:1
  • 23.09Mochizuki S.0:2
  • 22.09Castelnuovo L.2:1

Griekspoor T.

  • 01.10Rublev A.1:2
  • 24.09Shapovalov D.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Fils A.Kotov P.10 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →