Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Thursday, 8 October, MSK

Landaluce M. — Struff J-L.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Landaluce M.42%
Struff J-L.58%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Struff J-L. to win (58%), came true.

Struff J-L. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 22.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Landaluce M. 1498, Struff J-L. 1584.

Probabilities

Games over 22.553%
Games under 22.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Landaluce M. games
  • Struff J-L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Landaluce M.

  • 28.09Trungelliti M.1:2

Struff J-L.

  • 03.10Medvedev D.0:2
  • 30.09Tirante T. A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Medvedev D.Struff J-L.10 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →