Tennis: ATP, Hangzhou, hard · Tuesday, 29 September, MSK

Medvedev D. — Rublev A.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Medvedev D.63%
Rublev A.37%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Medvedev D. to win (63%), came true.

Medvedev D. are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

Over 24.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Medvedev D. 1835, Rublev A. 1734.

Probabilities

Games over 24.551%
Games under 24.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Medvedev D. games
  • Rublev A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Medvedev D.

  • 28.09Safiullin R.2:0
  • 27.09Wong C.2:1
  • 26.09Royer V.2:0

Rublev A.

  • 28.09Jacquet K.2:0
  • 27.09Gaston H.2:1
  • 25.09Hijikata R.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Griekspoor T.Rublev A.1 October · ATP · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Medvedev D.Carreno-Busta P.2 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →