Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 29 September, MSK

Fils A. — Majchrzak K.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Fils A.81%
Majchrzak K.19%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Fils A. to win (81%), came true.

Fils A. are clear favourites: 81% against 19% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Fils A. 1866, Majchrzak K. 1618.

Probabilities

Games over 22.548%
Games under 22.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Fils A. games
  • Majchrzak K. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Fils A.

  • 28.09Damm M.2:1

Majchrzak K.

  • 28.09Sonego L.2:0
  • 26.09Bu Y.1:2
  • 24.09Bellucci M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Fils A.van Assche L.30 September · ATP · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • Hanfmann Y.Majchrzak K.7 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →