Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Ostapenko J. — Badosa P.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Ostapenko J.40%
Badosa P.60%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Badosa P. to win (60%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 60% fails in about 40 matches out of 100 on average.

Badosa P. are slightly stronger: 60% against 40%.

Over 23.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Ostapenko J. 1684, Badosa P. 1754.

Probabilities

Games over 23.549%
Games under 23.551%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Ostapenko J. games
  • Badosa P. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Ostapenko J.

  • 24.09Preston T.0:2
  • 22.09Zakharova A.2:0

Badosa P.

  • 01.10Kasatkina D.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Ostapenko J.Mertens E.5 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.17.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →