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Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Rakhimova K. — Fernandez L.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Rakhimova K.58%
Fernandez L.42%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Rakhimova K. to win (58%), came true.

Rakhimova K. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 23.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Rakhimova K. 1557, Fernandez L. 1514.

Facts

  • Fernandez L.: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 23.550%
Games under 23.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Rakhimova K. games
  • Fernandez L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Rakhimova K.

  • 01.10Bassols M.2:0
  • 23.09Volynets K.0:2
  • 21.09Kudermetova P.2:1

Fernandez L.

  • 27.09Gibson T.2:0
  • 26.09Chwalinska M.2:1
  • 25.09Andreeva M.2:0
  • 23.09Parks A.2:0
  • 21.09Okamura K.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Jovic I.Rakhimova K.5 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • Alexandrova E.Fernandez L.12 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5

WTA on the same day

  • Krueger A.Li A.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Volynets K.Mertens E.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • Vekic D.Zhu L.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Gauff C.Osorio C.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • Sakkari M.Hunter S.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Ostapenko J.Badosa P.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Gao X.Swiatek I.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.17.5
  • Siniakova K.Svitolina E.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →