Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

Safiullin R. — Cobolli F.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Safiullin R.38%
Cobolli F.62%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Cobolli F. to win (62%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 62% fails in about 38 matches out of 100 on average.

Cobolli F. are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

Over 24.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Safiullin R. 1593, Cobolli F. 1724.

Probabilities

Games over 24.551%
Games under 24.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Safiullin R. games
  • Cobolli F. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Safiullin R.

  • 28.09Medvedev D.0:2
  • 27.09Bu Y.2:0
  • 26.09Halys Q.2:1
  • 24.09Sun F.2:0

Cobolli F.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Rublev A.Safiullin R.3 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Mannarino A.Cobolli F.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.25.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →