Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Sunday, 11 October, MSK

Shelton B. — Gea A.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Shelton B.67%
Gea A.33%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Shelton B. to win (67%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 67% fails in about 33 matches out of 100 on average.

Shelton B. are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.

Over 24.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Shelton B. 1816, Gea A. 1650.

Probabilities

Games over 24.550%
Games under 24.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Shelton B. games
  • Gea A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Shelton B.

  • 09.10Altmaier D.2:0

Gea A.

  • 09.10Humbert U.2:1
  • 07.10Faria J.2:1
  • 02.10Hurkacz H.1:2
  • 30.09Zhang Z.2:0
  • 29.09Machac T.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Gea A.Mensik J.13 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →