Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Sunday, 11 October, MSK

Khachanov K. — Mannarino A.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Khachanov K.72%
Mannarino A.28%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Khachanov K. to win (72%), came true.

Khachanov K. are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Khachanov K. 1682, Mannarino A. 1571.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Khachanov K. games
  • Mannarino A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Khachanov K.

  • 09.10Fery A.2:1
  • 04.10Hurkacz H.0:2
  • 02.10Molcan A.2:0
  • 30.09Auger-Aliassime F.2:0

Mannarino A.

  • 09.10Cobolli F.2:1
  • 07.10Basilashvili N.1:0
  • 29.09Carreno-Busta P.0:2
  • 28.09Kecmanovic M.2:1
  • 27.09Shapovalov D.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • De Minaur A.Khachanov K.13 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →