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Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Monday, 12 October, MSK

Tien L. — Ruud C.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Tien L.54%
Ruud C.46%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Tien L. to win (54%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 54% fails in about 46 matches out of 100 on average.

Tien L. are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Tien L. 1739, Ruud C. 1737.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Tien L. games
  • Ruud C. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Tien L.

  • 10.10Svajda Z.2:0
  • 01.10Hurkacz H.1:2

Ruud C.

  • 10.10Bu Y.2:0
  • 01.10Darderi L.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

ATP on the same day

  • Carreno-Busta P.Auger-Aliassime F.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Lehecka J.Jodar R.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Tsitsipas S.Fritz T.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Medvedev D.Svrcina D.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • Bergs Z.Alcaraz C.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • Fils A.Van De Zandschulp B.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Paul T.Vacherot V.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →