Tennis: ATP, Beijing, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 29 September, MSK

Trungelliti M. — Molcan A.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Trungelliti M.34%
Molcan A.66%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Molcan A. to win (66%), came true.

Molcan A. are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.

Over 24.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Trungelliti M. 1506, Molcan A. 1618.

Probabilities

Games over 24.550%
Games under 24.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Trungelliti M. games
  • Molcan A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Trungelliti M.

  • 28.09Landaluce M.2:1

Molcan A.

  • 28.09Kopriva V.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Molcan A.Khachanov K.2 October · ATP · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • Trungelliti M.Sakamoto R.7 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →