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Tennis: ATP, Chengdu, hard · Tuesday, 29 September, MSK

Hurkacz H. — Davidovich Fokina A.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Hurkacz H.50%
Davidovich Fokina A.50%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Hurkacz H. to win (50%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 50% fails in about 50 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Hurkacz H. 50%, Davidovich Fokina A. 50%.

Over 25.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Hurkacz H. 1747, Davidovich Fokina A. 1741.

Probabilities

Games over 25.548%
Games under 25.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Hurkacz H. games
  • Davidovich Fokina A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Hurkacz H.

  • 28.09Shapovalov D.2:1
  • 27.09Harris L.2:0
  • 26.09Damm M.2:1
  • 24.09Shevchenko A.2:0

Davidovich Fokina A.

  • 28.09Basilashvili N.2:1
  • 27.09Muller A.2:0
  • 26.09Cerundolo J. M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Davidovich Fokina A.Berrettini M.1 October · ATP · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Tien L.Hurkacz H.1 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5

ATP on the same day

  • Tsitsipas S.Hijikata R.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • Machac T.Gea A.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Munar J.Kovacevic A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • Fils A.Majchrzak K.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Trungelliti M.Molcan A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • Van De Zandschulp B.Cui J.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Vallejo D.Faria J.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Mannarino A.Carreno-Busta P.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →