Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Xiao L. — Cina F.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Xiao L.23%
Cina F.77%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Cina F. to win (77%), came true.

Cina F. are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 54%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Xiao L. 1500, Cina F. 1436.

Probabilities

Games over 21.554%
Games under 21.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Xiao L. games
  • Cina F. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Xiao L.

  • 22.09Mochizuki S.1:2

Cina F.

  • 26.09Muller A.0:2
  • 24.09Ugo Carabelli C.2:0
  • 23.09Basilashvili N.0:2
  • 22.09Uchida K.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Dougaz A.Cina F.6 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →