Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Zheng M. — Gomez F. A.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Zheng M.66%
Gomez F. A.34%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Zheng M. to win (66%), came true.

Zheng M. are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zheng M. 1547, Gomez F. A. 1494.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Zheng M. games
  • Gomez F. A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Zheng M.

  • 24.09Bu Y.0:2

Gomez F. A.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Zheng M.Mejia N.6 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →