Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Sunday, 11 October, MSK

Zverev A. — Halys Q.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Zverev A.85%
Halys Q.15%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Zverev A. to win (85%), came true.

Zverev A. are clear favourites: 85% against 15% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zverev A. 1892, Halys Q. 1585.

Probabilities

Games over 21.548%
Games under 21.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Zverev A. games
  • Halys Q. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Zverev A.

  • 09.10Wu Y.2:0
  • 04.10Djokovic N.1:2
  • 03.10Shang J.2:0
  • 01.10Norrie C.2:0

Halys Q.

  • 09.10Blockx A.2:1
  • 07.10Wong C.2:0
  • 03.10De Minaur A.1:2
  • 01.10Buse I.2:0
  • 26.09Safiullin R.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Zverev A.Bublik A.13 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →