Danish Superliga, round 11 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
AC Horsens — Randers FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Evenly matched: AC Horsens 37%, Randers FC 33%, draw 30%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Randers FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: AC Horsens — No. 6, 12 pts; Randers FC — No. 8, 10 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Randers FC: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: AC Horsens 1 win, Randers FC 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AC Horsens — Randers FC What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| AC Horsens not to lose | 67% | |
| Randers FC not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap AC Horsens
- AC Horsens goals
- Randers FC goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Silkeborg3:3
- 20.09AGF2:2
- 11.09away · FC København0:2
- 06.09away · Sønderjyske5:2
- 28.08Viborg2:3
Head to head
- 04.11.2022AC Horsens — Randers FC5:1
- 05.08.2022Randers FC — AC Horsens1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Championship round | Brøndby IF | 10 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 6, Championship round | AC Horsens | 10 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7, Relegation round | Silkeborg | 10 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 8, Relegation round | Randers FC | 10 | 3 | -5 | 10 |
| 9, Relegation round | OB | 10 | 2 | -6 | 10 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →