Copa Argentina, playoff · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Atlético Tucumán — Club Atlético Platense

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 28 October

Atlético Tucumán39%
Draw27%
Club Atlético Platense34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Atlético Tucumán 39%, Club Atlético Platense 34%, draw 27%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Atlético Tucumán: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Atlético Tucumán 2 wins, Club Atlético Platense 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Atlético Tucumán — Club Atlético Platense What is xG?1.4–1.3
Atlético Tucumán not to lose66%
Club Atlético Platense not to lose61%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Atlético Tucumán
  • Atlético Tucumán goals
  • Club Atlético Platense goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Atlético Tucumán

  • 10.10away · Gimnasia LP1:1
  • 03.10Barracas Central2:3
  • 21.09away · Aldosivi0:1
  • 17.09away · Independiente Rivadavia1:1
  • 12.09River Plate1:2

Club Atlético Platense

  • 11.10Argentinos Juniors1:1
  • 06.10away · Vélez Sarsfield2:2
  • 02.10Estudiantes1:0
  • 20.09Newell's Old Boys0:1
  • 16.09Fluminense2:1

Head to head

  • 05.10.2025Atlético Tucumán — Club Atlético Platense2:0
  • 29.03.2025Club Atlético Platense — Atlético Tucumán2:1
  • 28.05.2024Atlético Tucumán — Club Atlético Platense1:1
  • 12.02.2023Club Atlético Platense — Atlético Tucumán1:1
  • 06.10.2022Atlético Tucumán — Club Atlético Platense2:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →