2. Bundesliga, round 9 · Friday, 23 October, 19:30 MSK

Bochum — Wolfsburg

Model prediction for 23 October

Bochum33%

Draw26%

Wolfsburg41%

Model estimate at 02:25 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Wolfsburg are slightly stronger: 41% against 33%, draw 26%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.

Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 73%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bochum — Wolfsburg What is xG?		1.7–1.9
Bochum not to lose		59%
Wolfsburg not to lose		67%
No draw		74%
Both teams to score: yes		73%
Both teams to score: no		27%
Total over 2.5		71%
Total under 2.5		29%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Bochum
Bochum goals
Wolfsburg goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Bochum

11.10Arminia Bielefeld0:1
20.09away · Hannover 961:2
12.09Greuther Fürth1:1
05.09away · Dynamo Dresden2:1
28.08VfL Osnabrück0:1

Wolfsburg

10.10away · 1. FC Nürnberg4:4
18.09Darmstadt5:1
12.09away · St. Pauli0:1
05.09Energie Cottbus4:4
29.08away · Karlsruher SC5:2

Head to head

22.02.2025Wolfsburg — Bochum1:1
05.10.2024Bochum — Wolfsburg1:3
20.04.2024Wolfsburg — Bochum1:0
02.12.2023Bochum — Wolfsburg3:1
22.04.2023Bochum — Wolfsburg1:5

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
4	Magdeburg	7	4	1	2	14–9	+5	13
5	Wolfsburg	7	3	3	1	19–12	+7	12
6	Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	6–4	+2	12
11	Eintracht Braunschweig	7	2	1	4	13–13	0	7
12	Bochum	7	2	1	4	5–7	-2	7
13	Hannover 96	7	2	1	4	7–12	-5	7

Season 2026/27

Full table

2. Bundesliga on the same day

19:30
DarmstadtSt. Paulipreliminary
362935
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →