Tanzania Premier League, round 10 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Coastal Union — Kagera Sugar
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Coastal Union are clear favourites: 61% against 15% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Coastal Union are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coastal Union — Kagera Sugar What is xG? | 1.8–0.8 | |
| Coastal Union not to lose | 85% | |
| Kagera Sugar not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Coastal Union
- Coastal Union goals
- Kagera Sugar goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 12.10Singida Black Stars1:0
- 09.10Azam FC0:2
- 12.09JKT Tanzania2:1
- 06.09away · Polisi Tanzania FC2:1
- 27.08away · Simba SC0:1
- 09.10away · Mbeya City3:1
- 13.09Fountain Gate FC1:1
- 31.08Azam FC0:2
- 27.08away · Mashujaa1:2
- 22.08away · Geita Gold FC2:6
Head to head
- 03.04.2025Kagera Sugar — Coastal Union2:1
- 29.10.2024Coastal Union — Kagera Sugar1:0
- 21.05.2024Kagera Sugar — Coastal Union1:2
- 09.12.2023Coastal Union — Kagera Sugar1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo FC | 8 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | -5 | 4 |
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- Fountain Gate FCSimba SCpreliminary515802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- Azam FCMbeya Citypreliminary841241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →