Tanzania Premier League, round 10 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Fountain Gate FC — Simba SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Simba SC are clear favourites: 80% against 5% for the opponent, draw 15%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 31%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Simba SC are about 2.1 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Fountain Gate FC — No. 16, 4 pts; Simba SC — No. 1, 24 pts. A gap of 20 pts.
- Fountain Gate FC: winless in 5; Simba SC: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Fountain Gate FC 0 wins, Simba SC 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fountain Gate FC — Simba SC What is xG? | 0.4–2.1 | |
| Fountain Gate FC not to lose | 20% | |
| Simba SC not to lose | 95% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 31% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 69% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fountain Gate FC
- Fountain Gate FC goals
- Simba SC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10JKT Tanzania1:2
- 13.09away · Kagera Sugar1:1
- 31.08Young Africans0:2
- 28.08Mbeya City0:2
- 25.08away · Namungo FC0:1
- 13.10Mashujaa6:1
- 10.10Young Africans2:1
- 16.09away · Azam FC2:0
- 31.08Geita Gold FC2:0
- 27.08Coastal Union1:0
Head to head
- 15.04.2026Fountain Gate FC — Simba SC0:3
- 25.09.2025Simba SC — Fountain Gate FC3:0
- 06.02.2025Fountain Gate FC — Simba SC1:1
- 25.08.2024Simba SC — Fountain Gate FC4:0
- 12.03.2024Simba SC — Fountain Gate FC3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba SC | 8 | 8 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | +13 | 18 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate FC | 7 | 1 | -8 | 4 |
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- Azam FCMbeya Citypreliminary841241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Coastal UnionKagera Sugarpreliminary6124151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →