Botola Pro (Morocco), round 4 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Difaâ El Jadida — MAT Tetouan

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 17 October

Difaâ El Jadida43%
Draw32%
MAT Tetouan25%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Difaâ El Jadida are slightly stronger: 43% against 25%, draw 32%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 46%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Difaâ El Jadida are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Difaâ El Jadida — No. 13, 3 pts; MAT Tetouan — No. 12, 3 pts.
  • MAT Tetouan: winless in 5.
  • Last 2 meetings: Difaâ El Jadida 2 wins, MAT Tetouan 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Difaâ El Jadida — MAT Tetouan What is xG?1.2–0.9
Difaâ El Jadida not to lose75%
MAT Tetouan not to lose57%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes46%
Both teams to score: no54%
Total over 2.538%
Total under 2.562%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Difaâ El Jadida
  • Difaâ El Jadida goals
  • MAT Tetouan goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Difaâ El Jadida

  • 10.10away · US Amal Tiznit5:2
  • 03.10Wydad Casablanca0:2
  • 26.09CODM Meknès2:6
  • 05.07RS Berkane1:3
  • 02.07away · Union Yacoub El-Mansour2:2

MAT Tetouan

  • 09.10FUS Rabat0:0
  • 02.10away · Ittihad Tanger1:1
  • 27.09RS Berkane0:0
  • 11.05Salmi0:3
  • 08.05away · FAR Rabat1:2

Head to head

  • 22.02.2025MAT Tetouan — Difaâ El Jadida1:3
  • 22.10.2024Difaâ El Jadida — MAT Tetouan1:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11RS Berkane30302–203
12MAT Tetouan30301–103
13, Relegation play-offDifaâ El Jadida31027–10-33
14, Relegation play-offUS Amal Tiznit31024–8-43

Season 2026/27

Full table

Botola Pro on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →