Polish Ekstraklasa, round 13 · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Cracovia — Motor Lublin
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cracovia are clear favourites: 51% against 23% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cracovia are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Cracovia — No. 11, 11 pts; Motor Lublin — No. 14, 9 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 4 meetings: Cracovia 2 wins, Motor Lublin 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cracovia — Motor Lublin What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| Cracovia not to lose | 77% | |
| Motor Lublin not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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- Motor Lublin goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10Zagłębie Lubin3:1
- 19.09away · GKS Katowice2:3
- 13.09away · Wisła Płock1:3
- 06.09Górnik Zabrze0:1
- 29.08away · Radomiak Radom1:2
- 12.10away · Radomiak Radom3:2
- 19.09Górnik Zabrze0:0
- 11.09away · Raków Częstochowa1:2
- 05.09Legia Warszawa2:3
- 29.08Piast Gliwice0:2
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Motor Lublin — Cracovia3:3
- 22.11.2025Cracovia — Motor Lublin1:2
- 26.04.2025Motor Lublin — Cracovia0:1
- 26.10.2024Cracovia — Motor Lublin6:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 9 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- Górnik ZabrzeLegia Warszawapreliminary4830221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →