Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Eskişehirspor — Iğdır FK

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 27 October

Eskişehirspor30%
Draw26%
Iğdır FK44%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Iğdır FK are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Iğdır FK are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Eskişehirspor — Iğdır FK What is xG?1.2–1.5
Eskişehirspor not to lose56%
Iğdır FK not to lose70%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Eskişehirspor
  • Eskişehirspor goals
  • Iğdır FK goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Eskişehirspor

No past matches in the data yet.

Iğdır FK

  • 05.03away · Bodrum FK0:0
  • 03.02Antalyaspor6:0
  • 15.01away · Eyüpspor1:2
  • 24.12Aliağa2:2
  • 04.12Orduspor 19673:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Turkish Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →