Paraguayan Primera Division · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Guaraní — Nacional (PAR)
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: Guaraní 37%, Nacional (PAR) 31%, draw 32%.
The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Guaraní — Nacional (PAR) What is xG? | 1.0–0.9 | |
| Guaraní not to lose | 69% | |
| Nacional (PAR) not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 31% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Guaraní
- Guaraní goals
- Nacional (PAR) goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Libertad2:2
- 03.10Sportivo San Lorenzo1:1
- 25.09away · Luqueño1:0
- 18.09away · Sportivo Trinidense1:0
- 12.09Cerro Porteño1:1
- 13.10Recoleta1:0
- 07.10away · Olimpia1:1
- 26.09Sportivo Ameliano1:1
- 19.092 de Mayo3:0
- 14.09away · Rubio Ñú1:0
Head to head
- 10.08.2026Nacional (PAR) — Guaraní0:0
- 04.05.2026Guaraní — Nacional (PAR)0:1
- 02.03.2026Nacional (PAR) — Guaraní1:1
- 21.09.2025Guaraní — Nacional (PAR)2:0
- 13.07.2025Nacional (PAR) — Guaraní1:0
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- 4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →