Russian Premier League, round 13 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Zenit St. Petersburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zenit St. Petersburg are clear favourites: 55% against 17% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Zenit St. Petersburg are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Krylya Sovetov Samara — No. 9, 12 pts; Zenit St. Petersburg — No. 3, 21 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Zenit St. Petersburg: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Krylya Sovetov Samara 1 win, Zenit St. Petersburg 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Krylya Sovetov Samara — Zenit St. Petersburg What is xG? | 0.9–1.7 | |
| Krylya Sovetov Samara not to lose | 46% | |
| Zenit St. Petersburg not to lose | 83% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Krylya Sovetov Samara
- Krylya Sovetov Samara goals
- Zenit St. Petersburg goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Baltika0:2
- 10.10Spartak Moscow1:1
- 16.09away · Lokomotiv Moscow1:1
- 11.09Rodina2:1
- 05.09FC Krasnodar2:2
- 14.10away · Dynamo Makhachkala2:1
- 10.10away · FC Krasnodar3:2
- 16.09away · Baltika3:2
- 12.09Lokomotiv Moscow2:1
- 05.09CSKA Moscow1:2
Head to head
- 19.08.2026Krylya Sovetov Samara — Zenit St. Petersburg0:0
- 04.04.2026Zenit St. Petersburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara2:1
- 09.11.2025Krylya Sovetov Samara — Zenit St. Petersburg1:1
- 01.12.2024Zenit St. Petersburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara2:3
- 20.07.2024Krylya Sovetov Samara — Zenit St. Petersburg0:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 10 | 7 | +7 | 22 |
| 3 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 10 | 7 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →