Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Libertad (ECU) — Guayaquil City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Libertad (ECU) are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Libertad (ECU) are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 4 meetings: Libertad (ECU) 1 win, Guayaquil City 1, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Libertad (ECU) 8, Guayaquil City 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Libertad (ECU) — Guayaquil City What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| Libertad (ECU) not to lose | 80% | |
| Guayaquil City not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Libertad (ECU)
- Libertad (ECU) goals
- Guayaquil City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Leones del Norte3:0
- 20.09away · Emelec2:1
- 14.09Independiente del Valle2:3
- 07.09away · Deportivo Cuenca1:0
- 04.09Emelec1:1
- 11.10Emelec3:2
- 20.09Leones del Norte1:1
- 13.09Mushuc Runa3:1
- 08.09away · Orense3:4
- 03.09away · Deportivo Cuenca0:1
Head to head
- 16.08.2026Guayaquil City — Libertad (ECU)2:2
- 22.04.2026Libertad (ECU) — Guayaquil City0:1
- 10.10.2023Libertad (ECU) — Guayaquil City1:0
- 06.05.2023Guayaquil City — Libertad (ECU)1:1
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- 2528472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →