International Friendlies · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK · S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Lithuania — Andorra
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Lithuania to win (64%), came true.
Lithuania are clear favourites: 64% against 10% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 34%.
Why
- National-team Elo: Lithuania 1286, Andorra 1067 — Lithuania clearly rated higher.
- Lithuania: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lithuania — Andorra What is xG? | 1.7–0.5 | |
| Lithuania not to lose | 90% | |
| Andorra not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 34% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 66% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lithuania
- Lithuania goals
- Andorra goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 27.09Azerbaijan1:1
- 24.09away · Liechtenstein2:0
- 09.06away · Estonia0:1
- 06.06Latvia1:1
- 29.03Georgia0:2
- 27.09away · Gibraltar0:0
- 24.09Malta1:2
- 07.06away · Kosovo0:3
- 04.06Liechtenstein2:0
- 29.05away · Iraq0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next matches
- AzerbaijanLithuania4 October · UEFA Nations League4230281The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- MaltaAndorra4 October · UEFA Nations League5829131The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →