Ligue 1, round 9 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Lorient — Brest
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lorient are slightly stronger: 40% against 32%, draw 28%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lorient — Brest What is xG? | 1.4–1.2 | |
| Lorient not to lose | 68% | |
| Brest not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lorient
- Lorient goals
- Brest goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Angers5:1
- 20.09away · Auxerre1:2
- 13.09Paris Saint-Germain0:1
- 05.09away · Le Havre2:1
- 29.08Toulouse2:2
Head to head
- 07.02.2026Brest — Lorient2:0
- 19.10.2025Lorient — Brest3:3
- 31.03.2024Lorient — Brest0:1
- 20.12.2023Brest — Lorient4:0
- 07.05.2023Lorient — Brest2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Paris Saint-Germain | 6 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Brest | 6 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
Ligue 1 on the same day
- NiceRennespreliminary3925361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- LyonAngerspreliminary7118111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- TroyesLe Manspreliminary2324542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →