Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Manta — Deportivo Cuenca

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Model prediction for 24 October

Manta36%
Draw32%
Deportivo Cuenca33%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Manta 36%, Deportivo Cuenca 33%, draw 32%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Deportivo Cuenca: winless in 4.
  • Last 4 meetings: Manta 1 win, Deportivo Cuenca 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Manta — Deportivo Cuenca What is xG?1.1–1.1
Manta not to lose67%
Deportivo Cuenca not to lose64%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Manta
  • Manta goals
  • Deportivo Cuenca goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Manta

  • 10.10Técnico Universitario1:0
  • 21.09Orense2:1
  • 12.09Aucas0:0
  • 08.09away · Emelec0:1
  • 02.09away · CSD Macará3:4

Deportivo Cuenca

  • 11.10away · Orense0:0
  • 21.09Mushuc Runa1:1
  • 13.09away · LDU de Quito1:1
  • 07.09Libertad (ECU)0:1
  • 03.09Guayaquil City1:0

Head to head

  • 11.08.2026Deportivo Cuenca — Manta1:2
  • 19.04.2026Manta — Deportivo Cuenca0:1
  • 24.08.2025Manta — Deportivo Cuenca0:1
  • 03.05.2025Deportivo Cuenca — Manta2:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

LigaPro Serie A on the same day

  • OrenseDelfínpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →