CONMEBOL Copa Sudamericana, playoff · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Montevideo City Torque — Atlético-MG
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Montevideo City Torque are slightly stronger: 41% against 30%, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Montevideo City Torque are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Atlético-MG: unbeaten in 5.
- Days of rest before the match: Montevideo City Torque 13, Atlético-MG 11.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montevideo City Torque — Atlético-MG What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Montevideo City Torque not to lose | 70% | |
| Atlético-MG not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Montevideo City Torque
- Montevideo City Torque goals
- Atlético-MG goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 09.10Danubio1:0
- 06.10away · Nacional (URU)0:2
- 01.10Club Atletico Peñarol1:1
- 27.09Deportivo Maldonado0:2
- 22.09away · Central Español4:1
- 11.10Santos2:1
- 09.10away · Athletico Paranaense2:2
- 04.10RB Bragantino1:0
- 19.09Chapecoense1:1
- 17.09Santos4:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →