Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
Santa Fe — CD Jaguares
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Santa Fe are clear favourites: 74% against 9% for the opponent, draw 18%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Santa Fe are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
- CD Jaguares: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Santa Fe — CD Jaguares What is xG? | 2.2–0.7 | |
| Santa Fe not to lose | 91% | |
| CD Jaguares not to lose | 26% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Santa Fe
- Santa Fe goals
- CD Jaguares goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 06.10away · Independiente Medellín1:0
- 29.09away · Deportivo Pereira2:1
- 23.09Deportivo Cali0:1
- 20.09away · Alianza FC4:1
- 16.09away · Vasco da Gama0:2
- 12.10Tolima3:2
- 03.10away · Águilas Doradas0:2
- 28.09Alianza FC1:2
- 23.09away · Independiente Medellín1:2
- 12.09Fortaleza FC2:2
Head to head
- 18.02.2026CD Jaguares — Santa Fe3:1
- 15.11.2024Santa Fe — CD Jaguares3:0
- 29.04.2024CD Jaguares — Santa Fe1:0
- 20.07.2023Santa Fe — CD Jaguares1:0
- 28.01.2023CD Jaguares — Santa Fe2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Semi-final groups | Independiente Medellín | 13 | 7 | +4 | 23 |
| 6, Semi-final groups | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | +7 | 22 |
| 7, Semi-final groups | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 17 | Junior FC | 12 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 | CD Jaguares | 12 | 2 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | -9 | 9 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →