South African Premiership · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Stellenbosch FC — Chippa United

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Model prediction for 30 October

Stellenbosch FC57%
Draw28%
Chippa United15%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Stellenbosch FC are clear favourites: 57% against 15% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 37%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Stellenbosch FC are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Stellenbosch FC — Chippa United What is xG?1.4–0.6
Stellenbosch FC not to lose85%
Chippa United not to lose43%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes37%
Both teams to score: no63%
Total over 2.533%
Total under 2.567%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Stellenbosch FC
  • Stellenbosch FC goals
  • Chippa United goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Stellenbosch FC

  • 13.10away · Kaizer Chiefs1:1
  • 19.09away · Kruger United1:0
  • 11.09Sekhukhune United1:1
  • 01.09away · Durban City0:0
  • 26.08away · Lamontville Golden Arrows0:1

Chippa United

  • 20.09away · TS Galaxy1:0
  • 12.09Mamelodi Sundowns FC1:1
  • 05.09Milford FC0:0
  • 25.08away · Siwelele1:1
  • 16.08Orlando Pirates0:3

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Stellenbosch FC — Chippa United2:1
  • 28.09.2025Chippa United — Stellenbosch FC0:0
  • 30.04.2025Stellenbosch FC — Chippa United1:0
  • 23.10.2024Chippa United — Stellenbosch FC0:2
  • 01.03.2024Stellenbosch FC — Chippa United1:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Sekhukhune United73227–7011
7Stellenbosch FC82429–8+110
8Lamontville Golden Arrows71513–308
9Chippa United71514–6-28
10Polokwane City71428–10-27

Season 2026/27

Full table

SA Premiership on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →